Daily digest of prediction markets news — Hyperliquid, Polymarket, Kalshi, and more.
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14 sources
1. CFTC sues Illinois, Arizona, Connecticut over states' sports prediction market efforts 2. Polymarket expands into equities and commodities with Pyth price feeds 3. CFTC sues 3 states over prediction market regulatory authority 4. Polymarket fee expansion boosts revenue amid regulatory pressure 5. Hyperliquid gains ground on centralized exchanges as perps market share nears 6% 6. CFTC sues Illinois, Arizona and Connecticut in escalating fight for jurisdiction over prediction markets 7. As World Cup nears, CZ–backed YZi Labs increases investment in prediction market startup Predict.fun 8. Pump.fun leads $1 million pre-seed funding round into livestream prediction markets startup Pumpcade 9. Polymarket taps Pyth Network to resolve new US equity and commodity markets 10. Trump Admin Backs Prediction Markets With Lawsuits Against Illinois, Arizona and Connecticut 11. Polymarket rolls out stock and commodity contracts with Pyth price feeds 12. Hyperliquid whales sit on $3.4B in positions as longs edge shorts 13. YZi Labs doubles down on Predict.fun after $1.8B volume surge 14. Polymarket traders now price 65% odds WTI hits $120 in 2026
14 sources
1. Oil trader takes $17 million hit as tokenized crude rivals bitcoin liquidations 2. Jamie Dimon signals JPMorgan entry into prediction markets as competition surges 3. Brazil's B3 exchange to offer bitcoin-linked 'event contracts' for the ultra-rich 4. Crypto VC Paradigm is developing a prediction market terminal: Fortune 5. Hyperliquid whale makes $80M bet on market crash: Is Bitcoin in trouble? 6. Paradigm mulls prediction market entry with trading terminal, market making desk: Fortune 7. Agencies Must Create Clear Prediction Market Rules to Avoid FTX-Style ‘Implosions’: CFTC Chair 8. Deepcoin becomes first CEX to integrate Polymarket ‘event contracts’ 9. Paradigm builds pro-grade prediction market terminal for institutional traders 10. Pearl, prediction markets and the long tail of AI liquidity 11. Inside Coinbase’s push to bring prediction markets on chain and on venue 12. Hyperliquid price forms a bullish flag as golden cross looms, will it breakout? 13. Texas adds prediction markets and crypto to legislative priorities 14. CFTC signals enforcement action against insider trading in prediction markets
8 sources
1. Prediction markets backlash builds possible stormcloud for 2027 2. CFTC’s top enforcer puts prediction market insider traders on notice 3. Texas Lt. Gov. calls for study of crypto, prediction markets 4. Crypto Startup Uses Polymarket to Bet on Its Own Fundraise, Blindsiding Backers 5. Texas adds prediction markets and crypto to legislative priorities 6. CFTC signals enforcement action against insider trading in prediction markets 7. Can BNB price stay above $600 support as Binance unveils prediction market feature in its wallet? 8. U.S. democrats urge crackdown on potential insider trading in prediction markets
8 sources
1. Democrats urge warnings to federal officials against insider bets on prediction markets 2. Democrats press CFTC, ethics watchdog on prediction market insider trading 3. Peter Brandt, Polymarket traders don’t see new Bitcoin highs this year 4. NFL asks prediction markets to act on ‘easily manipulated’ bets 5. Hyperliquid whale opens $53M Bitcoin short: Should traders take notice? 6. Binance to launch prediction market feature within its wallet app via Predict.Fun 7. CFTC to ‘defer to leagues’ as NFL calls for tighter prediction market guardrails 8. Prediction market activity jumps 2,800% as geopolitical bets dominate
8 sources
1. Hyperliquid traders in Tokyo get 200-millisecond edge, Glassnode research shows 2. Polymarket trader makes $67K after UFC announcer briefly mixes up winner 3. Prediction market transactions surge on geopolitical bets, media coverage 4. Ethereum risks losing No. 2 spot as stablecoins gain ground 5. Prediction market activity jumps 2,800% as geopolitical bets dominate 6. Crypto market recap: What happened today? 7. Hyperliquid volume jumps but TradFi still rules commodity depth 8. Kalshi faces new state lawsuit as gambling claims grow
5 sources
1. Washington sues Kalshi as states ramp up legal pressure against prediction markets 2. Kalshi secures license to offer margin trading to institutional investors 3. Kalshi legal woes grow with Washington state gambling suit 4. How AI agents can reshape arbitrage in prediction markets 5. P2P.me admits Polymarket trade on fundraising outcome
18 sources
1. NYSE owner doubles down on Polymarket with fresh $600 million investment 2. California governor signs order banning prediction market insider trading 3. Crypto Biz: Stablecoin jitters meet institutional momentum 4. P2P.me team discloses and apologizes for prediction market bets 5. Detroit set to enter Michigan‘s battle against Coinbase prediction markets 6. Coinbase users push back against prediction markets notifications 7. NYSE parent ICE completes new $600M investment in Polymarket 8. Interview with SBF’s parents drops chance of pardon on betting markets 9. California bars officials from prediction market insider betting as federal ban takes shape 10. Prediction markets top $20 billion in monthly volume as geopolitics now drives majority of activity: TRM Labs 11. NYSE parent ICE invests another $600 million in Polymarket, expanding bet on prediction markets 12. NYSE Parent Company Finalizes Polymarket Investment, Totaling $1.6 Billion 13. Gavin Newsom Bans California Public Officials From Prediction Market Insider Trading 14. P2P.me admits Polymarket trade on fundraising outcome 15. Can Hyperliquid price hit $50 as derivatives DEX extends real‑world reach? 16. Sam Bankman-Fried parents’ CNN interview fails to lift pardon odds 17. NYSE parent invests $600M more in Polymarket 18. ARK invest uses Kalshi to track market expectations
6 sources
1. Cathie Wood’s ARK taps Kalshi data to help make investment calls 2. Lawmakers push another bill to curb prediction market insider trading 3. Cathie Wood’s ARK Invest turns to Kalshi to inform investment strategies, hedge risk 4. US Congressman Moves to Ban Staff From Trading on Prediction Markets 5. ARK invest uses Kalshi to track market expectations 6. US lawmakers push to block insider bets on government events
5 sources
1. Crypto Long & Short: Prediction Markets Don’t Just Forecast Power - They Reshape It 2. Proposed bill seeks to ban US president, Congress from prediction markets 3. Why Argentina is blocking Polymarket despite its global growth 4. US Congressman Moves to Ban Staff From Trading on Prediction Markets 5. Morning Minute: Circle Plunges 20% Over Clarity Act Yield Changes
14 sources
1. Crypto giant debuts oil trading, but it's a different model to Hyperliquid's perps 2. Retail traders fare worse on prediction markets than sportsbooks 3. BitGo, Susquehanna Crypto offering institutional OTC access to prediction markets 4. Pharma firm Enlivex raises $21M for prediction market Rain token treasury 5. CFTC chief launches innovation task force focused on crypto framework 6. BitGo, Susquehanna open OTC prediction markets trading to institutions 7. Federal regulation looms as 11 states go after prediction markets 8. Hyperliquid Strategies launches options trading on PURR common stock 9. CFTC forms new innovation task force to shape crypto, artificial intelligence and prediction markets 10. TD Cowen says prediction market bills unlikely to pass this year, flags 2028 election as ‘real threat’ 11. CFTC Unveils Innovation Task Force Focused on Crypto, AI and Prediction Markets 12. Morning Minute: Saylor Gains Access to Another $44B to Buy Bitcoin 13. HYPE whale exits $22.9m position as Hyperliquid token hovers near highs 14. HYPE jumps as Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest sets record
14 sources
1. Prediction market boom spurs new VC fund backed by Polymarket, Kalshi CEOs 2. Polymarket traders bet on Iran ceasefire even as oil shock concerns persist 3. Kalshi joins Polymarket in sweeping user bans to head off insider trading 4. Polymarket tightens rules to curb manipulation, insider trading risks 5. Senate bill to target sports betting ban on prediction markets: WSJ 6. Kalshi, Polymarket tighten insider trading controls amid Senate scrutiny 7. The Daily: Lawmakers move to ban sports betting on prediction markets, Polymarket and Kalshi CEOs back a new $35 million venture fund, and more 8. Prediction market rivals Shayne Coplan and Tarek Mansour back new venture fund: Fortune 9. Polymarket, Kalshi Make Moves to Counter Insider Trading as Scrutiny Grows 10. Senators Reveal Bipartisan Bill to Outlaw Sports Prediction Markets 11. Ex‑Kalshi staff launch $35M fund for prediction market infrastructure 12. Polygon-incubated Katana snaps up IDEX to launch native perps platform 13. Polymarket unveils stricter integrity rules across DeFi and CFTC venues 14. Hyperliquid’s fee machine is trading like a cheap growth stock
4 sources
1. Oil, silver trading is way more popular than XRP, solana on Hyperliquid 2. If one trader can force the outcome of a prediction market, it shouldn’t be tradable 3. Nevada judge temporarily blocks Kalshi from operating in the state 4. Kalshi faces 14-day shutdown in Nevada over gambling laws
5 sources
1. Grayscale wants to bring the world's hottest crypto trading frenzy to your brokerage account 2. The 5-cent contract that debunked a wartime death conspiracy 3. Nevada judge temporarily blocks Kalshi from operating in the state 4. Grayscale files S-1 for Hyperliquid ETF, joining Bitwise, 21Shares 5. Grayscale joins race to launch Hyperliquid ETF
15 sources
1. Kalshi gets temporary Nevada ban in dispute over sports betting 2. Kalshi valuation doubles to $22 billion in latest funding round: Bloomberg 3. Iran war volatility is driving oil trading boom on Hyperliquid, says JPMorgan 4. Grayscale files S-1 for Hyperliquid ETF, joining Bitwise, 21Shares 5. Appeals court denies Kalshi request to block Nevada enforcement action 6. Grayscale files for HYPE ETF tracking largest onchain perps DEX Hyperliquid 7. Kalshi faces temporary halt in Nevada as court grants restraining order: reports 8. Kalshi raises over $1 billion at $22 billion valuation in ongoing Coatue-led round: reports 9. Nevada Becomes First State to Ban Prediction Market Kalshi—At Least for Now 10. Kalshi Raises $1 Billion to Double Valuation to $22 Billion: Reports 11. Gemini Faces Class-Action Suit Over Prediction Market Pivot, Plummeting Stock Price 12. Morning Minute: Bitcoin Rebounds as Oil Falls 13. Grayscale joins race to launch Hyperliquid ETF 14. Investors sue Gemini over IPO misstatements and Gemini 2.0 strategy switch 15. Nevada cleared to pursue restraining order against Kalshi